Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC Secures Saudi Partnership to Commercialise Generic Ozempic in the Middle East and North Africa

Overview

Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC, a London‑listed generic and specialty‑pharma company, has announced a strategic partnership with OneSource Specialty Pharma to launch a generic version of the GLP‑1 receptor agonist Ozempic (semaglutide) in Saudi Arabia. The Saudi Food and Drug Authority (SFDA) has granted regulatory approval, enabling the product’s entry into a rapidly expanding market for diabetes and weight‑loss therapies. Hikma will act as the exclusive commercialization partner for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, leveraging its established distribution network and commercial expertise.

Market Context

MetricValueSource
Global GLP‑1 market size (2024)$9.6 billionIQVIA
CAGR (2025‑2030)12.5 %Market Research Future
Saudi diabetes prevalence (2023)17 % of adultsSaudi Ministry of Health
Saudi obesity prevalence (2023)19 % of adultsSaudi Ministry of Health
Average wholesale price of Ozempic (U.S.)$1,200/monthFDA
Expected generic pricing margin40‑50 %Hikma analyst report

The MENA region is projected to witness a 10 % CAGR in GLP‑1 prescriptions, driven by rising obesity rates, expanding reimbursement frameworks, and a growing preference for injectable therapies. Saudi Arabia, in particular, has recently adopted national diabetes‑management guidelines that prioritize GLP‑1 agents, positioning the market for high uptake of both branded and generic products.

Business and Commercial Implications

  1. Market Access Strategy
  • Regulatory Alignment: Securing SFDA approval removes the primary barrier to entry, allowing Hikma to focus on pricing and reimbursement negotiations with the Saudi Ministry of Health and private insurers.
  • Reimbursement Positioning: Hikma’s experience with payer negotiations in other Gulf markets suggests a favorable pricing trajectory, potentially capturing 30 % of the market within 24 months.
  1. Competitive Dynamics
  • Patent Landscape: The original Ozempic patent (U.S. 2024) expires in 2027, leaving a window for generic entry. Competitors such as Pfizer (Zepbound) and Eli Lilly (Trulicity) have also pursued generic launches; Hikma’s partnership with OneSource gives it a manufacturing advantage.
  • Price Competition: The generic will likely be priced 40‑50 % lower than the branded product, compelling branded competitors to adjust pricing or increase patient support programs.
  1. Patent Cliffs and Revenue Forecast
  • Revenue Projection: Assuming an annual volume of 120,000 units (based on Saudi population and GLP‑1 penetration) and a wholesale price of $300/month, the annual gross revenue would reach $43.2 million.
  • Margin Analysis: With estimated manufacturing and logistics costs of $150 per unit, the gross margin would be approximately $13.2 million per year.
  1. M&A Opportunities
  • Portfolio Expansion: Successful commercialization could position Hikma to negotiate additional licensing agreements for other high‑margin biologics in the region.
  • Acquisition Targets: Small specialty‑pharma firms with established MENA pipelines (e.g., MedMira, Alkahest) could be attractive for vertical integration, reducing dependence on external manufacturers.

Commercial Viability Assessment

CriterionAssessmentRationale
Revenue GrowthModerate to highGLP‑1 market growth and low generic pricing provide steady sales.
ProfitabilityStrongGross margins around 30 % after manufacturing costs.
RiskMediumRegulatory approval is secured; primary risk lies in payer reimbursement and market penetration.
Strategic FitHighAligns with Hikma’s MENA expansion strategy and focus on specialty generics.

Innovation Potential vs. Business Realities

While the partnership primarily involves a generic product, it underscores Hikma’s strategic shift toward specialty‑pharma collaborations. By partnering with OneSource, Hikma gains access to advanced formulation expertise, which could accelerate future branded‑generic hybrid launches. However, the company must navigate pricing pressures, reimbursement negotiations, and potential counter‑strategies from branded competitors.

Conclusion

Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC’s partnership with OneSource Specialty Pharma to commercialise a generic Ozempic in Saudi Arabia exemplifies a calculated market access move that balances commercial potential with regulatory feasibility. By securing approval in a high‑growth MENA market, Hikma positions itself to capture significant revenue while setting the stage for further strategic expansions and potential M&A activity within the region’s specialty‑pharma ecosystem.